Polymarket Trader

aldal

0x288cf1cd633655646fefc6e4c493af9039da3250

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.32
Realized PnL: $513.62
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.25K
Potential profit: $8.25K
User PnL: -$390.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $362
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $99.34
Potential payout: $100.34
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $69
User PnL: -$63.57

Yes position

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.99
Potential payout: $55.09
Potential profit: $47.1
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.76

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.08

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.18

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.93

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.14

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$0.6

FUT Esports position

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.71

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 300 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 95.2% 50 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 5,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 200 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi 51% 196.08 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

No 13% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Up 6% 83.33 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 33% 300 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 96.4% 50 shares