Polymarket Trader

ransack

0x2892ea81ccc646db98819a1c7ac03c56227d71dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: $6.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $69.73
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$5.27

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $149.42
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.22
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $42.7
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $199.46
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $881.62
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $28.27
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $17.42
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $16.28
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $44.06
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $971.2
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$17.94

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $980.98
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $385.74
Potential payout: $637.59
Potential profit: $251.85
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $63.24

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $103.13
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $521.88
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $411.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $86
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $314.01
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $394.74
Potential profit: $393.36
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$13.62

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $145.43
Potential payout: $326.81
Potential profit: $181.38
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $45.8

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $315.43
Potential profit: $308.68
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $311.69
Potential profit: $295.64
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $35.78
Potential payout: $311.11
Potential profit: $275.34
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.59

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.13

No position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $314.82

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.04

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.89

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.39

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.13

Yes position

Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14m and $15m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.75

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.16

Yes position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.55

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.7

Yes position

Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.05

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.45

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129

Yes position

Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.36

Chiefs position

Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.25

Kings position

Timberwolves vs. Kings

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.05

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.38

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.93

Bengals position

Spread: Ravens (-7.5)

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.75

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.18

Yes position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 50.5% 19.8 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,166.67 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 1,111.11 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,111.11 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,142.85 shares
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?

Yes 62% 100 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Yes 28% 20 shares
Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Japan 36% 41.67 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 39% 38.46 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

No 45% 44.44 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 47% 42.55 shares