Yes position
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x28AFe057fCa121F769F8E528916AcE2eDa057a7c-1767449637915
0x28afe057fca121f769f8e528916ace2eda057a7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $16.6
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.46
- Potential profit
- $24.46
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.31
- Potential profit
- $7.31
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
70k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp 27% 24.46 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.1% 2.43 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 4% 7.14 shares
- Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Yes 5.6% 1.72 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 71.42 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 1.2 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.5% 2 shares
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes 16% 7.14 shares
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Yes 13% 4.76 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 65% 7.31 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 1.2 shares