0x28bc...c1b8

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $21.58
Potential profit: $21.47
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$7.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $19.19
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.82
Potential payout: $18.83
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $9.02
Potential payout: $14.09
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $12.62
Potential profit: $12.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $10.22
Potential profit: $3.52
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $9.55
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $8.37
Potential profit: $7.74
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.63
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $7.22
Potential profit: $6.39
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $6.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $6.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $4.4
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $2.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $2.51
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $1.42
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.16

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.92

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?