Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $355.49
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 4.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Polymarket Trader
maaaawife
0x28c09194082bf4e1b31b582cacfe5ad4a09f774d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.77K
- Realized PnL
- $251.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $358.59
- Potential payout
- $440.04
- Potential profit
- $81.45
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.04
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $176.92
- Potential payout
- $203.36
- Potential profit
- $26.44
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$180
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $152.54
- Potential payout
- $161.85
- Potential profit
- $9.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $114.4
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $148.35
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $94.71
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $22.94
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.29
No position
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $98
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $79.55
- Potential payout
- $81.46
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $64.74
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $14.21
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $29.65
- Potential payout
- $69.77
- Potential profit
- $40.12
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $50.42
- Potential payout
- $53.08
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $20.05
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $32.03
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Sharks position
Islanders vs. Sharks
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.97
- Potential profit
- $34.97
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $28.9
- Potential payout
- $33.24
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $7.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $31.97
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $31.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.59
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- $14.38
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $13.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana reach $90 in June?No 98.2% 100 shares
- Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No 86.9% 33.24 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?No 99.4% 150 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No 97.1% 81.46 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 160 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 43% 69.77 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 48% 52.08 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 76% 78.95 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 86.8% 211.65 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 474.72 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No 87% 45 shares