OpenAI position
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $53.27
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$830.63
Polymarket Trader
DavidDyer3788
0x28c92641825bb0b0229980a000ff845ee80999aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.55
- Realized PnL
- $3.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195
- Potential profit
- $195
- User PnL
- -$52.65
Yes position
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $142.43
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $40.71
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 5AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388
Mid-America Christian Evangels position
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $371.88
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.04
Yes position
Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290.95
Yes position
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.44
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.4
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.19
No position
Will Trump say "Drone" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.63
Yes position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $118.5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.68
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.24
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.16
Yes position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.26
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.28
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.55
No position
Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.34
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.72
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.52
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.74
No position
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 87% 46 shares
- Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes 23% 8 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 74% 142 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 74% 142 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 61% 99 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 61% 99 shares
- Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No 89.7% 547 shares
- Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No 81% 302 shares
- Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No 81.1% 572 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 23% 11 shares
- Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No 84% 874 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 1.2% 225 shares