Polymarket Trader

DuneMentat

0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $118.95K
Realized PnL: $77.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $46.96K
Potential payout: $54.29K
Potential profit: $7.33K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.65K

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $28.97K
Potential payout: $33.49K
Potential profit: $4.52K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $17.93
Potential payout: $7.17K
Potential profit: $7.15K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$374.14

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $667.94
Potential payout: $7.03K
Potential profit: $6.36K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.55K

No position

Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $3.46K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$397.17

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $3.79K
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $832.5
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $2.24
User PnL: $582.67

No position

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $464.48
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.33K

No position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $695.74

No position

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $61.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $1.84
User PnL: $341.58

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $56.29
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $256.15

Yes position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.2%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: $260.22

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $13.44
User PnL: $425.97

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$2.86K

No position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $903.63
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.49K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $18.06
User PnL: $94.21

No position

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $337.44
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $37.49

No position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $463.88
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$123.54

Yes position

Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.93

No position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $304.18
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$1.19K

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $17.79
User PnL: $18.94

Yes position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $412.27
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$551.16

No position

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $317.48
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$9.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5K

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Knights position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19K

No position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14K

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

No position

Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 85% 205 shares
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Yes 8% 21 shares
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?

Yes 35.7% 90 shares
Will Jordan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 86% 9.67 shares
Will Jordan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 86% 21 shares
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

No 74% 20 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 18 shares
Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?

Yes 99% 180 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 85% 110 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Saudi Arabia finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 50% 20 shares
Will Tanvir Ahmad win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

No 98.4% 65.13 shares