Polymarket Trader

0x28cd...d99a

0x28cd8f822e6de0a5e3682a03a5882a7bbb60d99a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $38.78
Realized PnL: $672.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 80.9%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.03

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.5

Cody Durden position

UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Vicente Luque position

UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Joselyne Edwards position

UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Raoni Barcelos position

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Renato Moicano position

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yousri Belgaroui position

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Rafa Garcia position

UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

Ethyn Ewing position

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Tatiana Suarez position

UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Yes 20.2% 5 shares
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?

No 42% 5 shares
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

No 74.7% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 78.2% 5 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

No 14% 8 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

No 87% 5 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

No 98.4% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 85% 5 shares
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 95% 0.46 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

No 74.8% 5 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

No 98.9% 5 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

No 88% 5 shares