Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $44.15
- Potential payout
- $304.52
- Potential profit
- $260.36
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$55.85
Polymarket Trader
Nutron53
0x28d551a09b42bb4737fad4297d50e27656168433
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.51
- Realized PnL
- $6.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $55.36
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $63.69
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $5.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.74
No position
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.28
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.34
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.43
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.53
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.33
No position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.09
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
Yes position
Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.74
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.74
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.8
Yes position
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.92
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7
No position
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 42% 119.05 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 32.8% 304.52 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No 4.1% 609.76 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?Yes 3.9% 513.93 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?Yes 10.4% 575.66 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?Yes 3.9% 643.93 shares
- Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes 62.9% 846.39 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 4.2% 1,433.38 shares
- Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes 4.8% 562.06 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes 94.2% 1,000 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 6.1% 1,433.78 shares
- Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?Yes 0.2% 2,186.63 shares