Polymarket Trader

0x28E42Ce9f513158f37dC90650baC898b1386e179-1763939632009

0x28e42ce9f513158f37dc90650bac898b1386e179

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $437.15
Realized PnL: $537.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $4.93K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $119.85
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$93.76

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $128.81
Potential payout: $599.11
Potential profit: $470.3
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $28.81

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.3
Potential profit: $492.3
User PnL: -$49.23

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $34.03
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $243.75
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$15.97

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $147.56
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $96.34
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $47.56

No position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $145.45
Potential profit: $138.55
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$9.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.76

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $61.23

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $25.08

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 1.2% 3,035.37 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 1.6% 2,455.84 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 2% 4,928.91 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

No 30% 333.33 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 16.7% 599.11 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 11% 909.09 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39.6% 500 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 81% 460.2 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of February?

No 21% 30 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of February?

No 10% 522.3 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 74% 70.42 shares