Polymarket Trader

gmoves8

0x28ef465e8cc384080d935626e884a90439afffe1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.84K
Realized PnL: -$4.59K
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.17K
Potential profit: $55.17K
User PnL: -$129.98

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$540

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $99.17
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $993.06
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $395.83
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $195.83
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $637.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.17

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $101.49
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $493.75
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $95.05
Potential payout: $471.7
Potential profit: $376.65
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $195.24
Potential payout: $317.46
Potential profit: $122.22
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.12
Potential profit: $253.12
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $191.95
Potential profit: $186.67
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $130.7
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $44.74
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $30.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $133.57
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $87.59
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$6.68

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $11.94
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.97

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.16

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.48

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.34

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.2%
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.1

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.28

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$73.68

Yes position

Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$199.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$453.43

Yes position

Will the AFD be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.33K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Yes 57% 175.44 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 595.24 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 1,666.67 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 24% 833.33 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 317.46 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 1,388.89 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 519.48 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 5% 2,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 50,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 1.6% 625 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 6.5% 154.01 shares