Polymarket Trader

theoctagonoracle

0x29090528a2821a0d7af7d4a3031860a31ee35326

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.5
Realized PnL: $244.88
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $989.5
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$11.5

Montel Jackson position

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.34
Potential profit: $132.34
User PnL: -$82.05

Marcus Buchecha position

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.49
Potential profit: $118.49
User PnL: -$68.72

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Joel Álvarez position

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$48

Tim Elliott position

UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Fatima Kline position

UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.8

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.99

Talita Alencar position

UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.13

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.4

No position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.6

Under position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Jasmine Jasudavicius position

UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

Mark Vologdin position

UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $11.43

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Over position

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Under position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jamey-Lyn Horth win by KO or TKO?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Kyler Phillips position

UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46

Jamey-Lyn Horth position

UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Fatima Kline 80% 150 shares
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Fatima Kline 79.8% 84.25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Fatima Kline 76% 15.18 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Over 59% 10 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

49.2% 495.53 shares
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

47.6% 413.66 shares
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Talita Alencar 32% 74.94 shares
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Montel Jackson 62% 130.82 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Marcus Buchecha 58% 116.98 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 7% 100 shares
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

No 66.7% 24.83 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2% 1,000 shares