No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $109.85
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Polymarket Trader
SickandTired
0x290d0d19d90afbff047dd3585c4a716dc5f9dc40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $473.39
- Realized PnL
- $3.91K
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $69.06
- Potential payout
- $73.67
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $57.63
- Potential payout
- $72.04
- Potential profit
- $14.41
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $55.65
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $14.35
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $46.83
- Potential payout
- $51.78
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $11.59
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.4%
- Current value
- $20.75
- Potential payout
- $31.27
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $6.16
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.2%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $3.65
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89K
Yes position
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
No position
Will ETH hard fork before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Ripple above $3.15 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Solana above $260 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 62% 10 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Yes 24% 42 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Yes 33.5% 42 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 63% 31.75 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 65.5% 15.27 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 65.4% 16 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 62% 5 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 62% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 85% 130 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 6?No 75% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?Yes 99.1% 55.26 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 91.9% 21.77 shares