Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $147.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $852.5
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $66.5
Polymarket Trader
0x17Cf884939Ab3EA0DCB79A5a297C4d5E6bdE86a4-1769345685206
0x29159f94cfaaec01530b3de0c27cd35711466cdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $645.54
- Realized PnL
- $299.36
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $20.26
- Potential payout
- $920.91
- Potential profit
- $900.65
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $557.53
- Potential profit
- $557.53
- User PnL
- -$182.08
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $492.75
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $449.77
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $61.36
- Potential payout
- $413.22
- Potential profit
- $351.86
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $13.06
- Potential payout
- $235.29
- Potential profit
- $222.24
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $172.93
- Potential payout
- $224.58
- Potential profit
- $51.65
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $22.93
Yes position
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$102
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $59
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $141
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $90.48
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$9.52
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $86.97
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$22.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.76
- Potential profit
- $69.76
- User PnL
- -$30
Linda Sevcikova position
ITF Tarvisio: Radka Zelnickova vs Linda Sevcikova
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.12
- Potential profit
- $67.12
- User PnL
- -$14.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.09
- Potential profit
- $54.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$33.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Hamilton position
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $19.64
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.8
- Potential profit
- $23.8
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.84
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $31.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 35% 11.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 36% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 38% 16.12 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 37% 13.5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 35% 14.28 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 36% 5.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 35% 7.69 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 34% 13.57 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 33% 7.46 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 56% 200 shares
- ITF Tarvisio: Radka Zelnickova vs Linda SevcikovaLinda Sevcikova 21.5% 67.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 54% 250.26 shares