Polymarket Trader

MatheusTriginelli

0x2928a3e1b6e0bf9d38632d8c5577c615677fcada

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $257
Realized PnL: $3.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $28.18
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $35.58
Potential payout: $704.55
Potential profit: $668.97
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$29.42

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $664.33
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $87.99
Potential payout: $154.39
Potential profit: $66.4
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Cruzeiro win Brazil Série A?

Ends Dec 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $132.16
Potential profit: $131.5
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $106.56
Potential profit: $106.3
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.73

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $28.14
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $71.86
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $18.74

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $84.99
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $17.15
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $52.85
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$4.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?

Ends Dec 16, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $22.85
Potential payout: $44.37
Potential profit: $21.52
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $22.19
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.18

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.7

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.81

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.46

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $115.3

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.7

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.77

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.65

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.06

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.62

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.36

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.19

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: $57.86

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.83

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.43

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.41

Pereira position

Ankalaev vs. Pereira

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 12% 3.03 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Yes 31% 6.25 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 69% 20.29 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 14.7 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?

Yes 5% 13.33 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?

Yes 1.4% 14 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?

Yes 5% 0.22 shares