No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Polymarket Trader
arfolomew
0x293032d942c44fdeba7583140adca866bf0a3666
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.63
- Realized PnL
- $193.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?No 71% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?No 59% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?No 60% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?No 58% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 21?No 65% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?No 62% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 66% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?No 62% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 63% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?No 68% 5.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 19?No 64% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 17?No 73% 10 shares