Y
Yes position
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $71.78
- Potential payout
- $235.33
- Potential profit
- $163.56
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$14.9
Polymarket Trader
23g4
0x2934597cb074b5725610ea219b2841944b35e27a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.01
- Realized PnL
- $398.02
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $26.4
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $193.6
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$94
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.18
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $8.07
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Panthers
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.3
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.9
No position
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.9
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $7.72
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes 12.3% 50 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?No 89% 7.7 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?Yes 70% 14.68 shares
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No 72% 20 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11.3% 40 shares
- Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes 80.3% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 74.2% 150 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No 86% 118.25 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 9% 50 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?Yes 40% 20 shares
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?No 58% 52.56 shares
- Hawks vs. LakersHawks 25% 6,600 shares