Polymarket Trader

0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614

0x29412927729808cac3d26c2525c98aa9fde8dad2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.79
Realized PnL: $188.52
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.32
Potential profit: $433.32
User PnL: -$39.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $216.32
Potential profit: $215.23
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$46.92

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.45
Potential profit: $155.45
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.57
Potential profit: $114.57
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.53
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$26.69

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.68
Potential profit: $95.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $16.56
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $55.44
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$8.44

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $70.21
Potential profit: $61.43
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$11.22

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $20.71
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $41.4
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $52.91
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.11
Potential profit: $36.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $34.79
Potential profit: $34.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $30.48
Potential profit: $29.07
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$3.58

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.02
Potential profit: $26.02
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.6

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.4

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.12

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.49

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.37

Yes position

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 62.11 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Yes 49% 37.32 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 52.1% 27.57 shares
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 108.7 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 26% 103.85 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Yes 6% 116.67 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Yes 55.4% 36.11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

No 17% 58.82 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Yes 11% 54.25 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Yes 11.5% 43.48 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

No 24% 41.67 shares