Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 4.40x
- User PnL
- -$58.68
Polymarket Trader
lucasrocha1
0x29457ad1d1afcd22b392299c0e8478eb6d7e9a3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.47K
- Realized PnL
- $24.61
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $764.17
- Potential profit
- $764.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $43.52
- Potential profit
- $29.81
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$12.84
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $21.54
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $12.11
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 23.6% 5,815.64 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.2% 491.89 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 61% 43.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.5% 12.86 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.8% 12.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.5% 1.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 77.9% 12.84 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 79% 12.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp 63% 7.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp 51% 10.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown 0.7% 764.17 shares