Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $76.43
- Potential payout
- $5.66K
- Potential profit
- $5.58K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Polymarket Trader
okwtfok
0x29489e05e52aaf42c5323fec26b814793901788a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $418.3
- Realized PnL
- $5.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $681
- Potential profit
- $681
- User PnL
- -$23.15
Yes position
Pengu above $0.05 on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.36
- Potential profit
- $530.36
- User PnL
- -$52.77
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.48
- Potential profit
- $270.48
- User PnL
- -$51.32
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $230.77
- User PnL
- -$30
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $210.18
- Potential payout
- $227.22
- Potential profit
- $17.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $72.56
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $10.54
- Potential payout
- $226.67
- Potential profit
- $216.13
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.5
- Potential profit
- $162.5
- User PnL
- -$13
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $111.6
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $37.2
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.45
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
No position
Will Coinbase's TBA app launch before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 October 13-19?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 IR Iran?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12.1
Over position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.51
- Potential profit
- $44.51
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
No position
Israel military strike against Iran in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.79
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.76
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.02
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.48
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.57
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Yes position
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.62
N
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $36.3
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.8
Yes position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.36
No position
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.28
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.69
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will Coinbase's TBA app launch before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 6% 116.67 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 62% 120 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 63.2% 150 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 54% 16 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 65% 105 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 34% 5 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 11% 76.92 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 32.6% 270.79 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 30.9% 416.09 shares
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsYes 18% 5.56 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 IR Iran?Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares