Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $4.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.81
Polymarket Trader
caseytimothy
0x295ffa1e1050107834f9967ffa9d8b0443a57077
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.07
- Realized PnL
- $0.28
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $2.36
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump talk to María Corina Machado in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 November 17-23?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 66% 1.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69% 1.54 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 69% 1.84 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 58% 2.03 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 89% 1.25 shares
- Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?No 93% 1.2 shares
- Will Trump talk to María Corina Machado in January?Yes 96% 1.15 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 26% 3.96 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 25.4% 9.84 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Yes 59% 1.88 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 86% 1.9 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 79% 1.42 shares