Polymarket Trader

JMV0

0x2965566554770169d5f1e887f7cc9d5b528ec74a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.14K
Realized PnL: $14.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.64K
Potential profit: $14.64K
User PnL: -$4.4K

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27K
Potential profit: $14.27K
User PnL: -$293.78

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27K
Potential profit: $14.27K
User PnL: -$664.39

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27K
Potential profit: $14.27K
User PnL: -$2.08K

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.19K
Potential profit: $14.19K
User PnL: -$2.02K

No position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.31K
Potential profit: $12.31K
User PnL: -$1.93K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.94K
Potential profit: $11.94K
User PnL: -$255.07

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $8.94K
User PnL: -$447.24

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.45K
Potential profit: $8.45K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.24K
Potential profit: $6.24K
User PnL: -$499.2

Yes position

Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.55K
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$450

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.8K
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $406.45
Potential payout: $4.78K
Potential profit: $4.38K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$13.98

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$262.71

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$497.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$160

Pacquiao position

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $732.4
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $747.2
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $194.44

No position

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$321.32

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$506

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$495

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $819.08
Potential profit: $819.08
User PnL: -$625.58

No position

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$396

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.99
Potential profit: $764.99
User PnL: -$497.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $866.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.6

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $702

Flavio Cobolli position

Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577.8

Sebastian Baez position

Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.53

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.63

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.11

No position

Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.75

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.2

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.17

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 35% 2,623.12 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Yes 50% 5,039.09 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 37% 269.2 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Yes 51% 2,936.55 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 2.7% 533.47 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 2% 482.34 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 3.2% 722 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 13% 722 shares
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

No 84% 435.44 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 1.5% 1,832 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 2.5% 2,093.37 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 2.1% 42.43 shares