Nikitka

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.23K
Potential payout: $120.41K
Potential profit: $110.18K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.71K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $10.29K
Potential payout: $52.35K
Potential profit: $42.07K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $609.23

Yes position

Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $932.86
Potential payout: $29.15K
Potential profit: $28.22K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$103.26

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $150.64
Potential payout: $25.11K
Potential profit: $24.96K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$296.76

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $20.8K
Potential profit: $19.24K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$104.02

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $5.52K
Potential payout: $18.1K
Potential profit: $12.58K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$452.42

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $459.94
Potential payout: $11.64K
Potential profit: $11.18K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $10.49K
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: $251.95

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $394.32
Potential payout: $10.95K
Potential profit: $10.56K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$137.11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $10.45K
Potential profit: $9.22K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $293.33
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.21K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$41.25

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $8.02K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $421.25
Potential payout: $6.15K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $19.18

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 40+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.71K

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $4.56K
User PnL: -$1.85K

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $187.13
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.07K
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$111.56

Yes position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $301.26
Potential payout: $3.54K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $17.72

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $453.15
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$56.64

No position

Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $268.28
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$65.26

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$105

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.44K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.51K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32K

Yes position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

No position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14K

Taylor position

Taylor vs. Serrano

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $743.09

Yes position

Will Kamala announce VP pick Monday or later?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.71

70k position

Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.33

No position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.07

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.17

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $402.24

Yes position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.88

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Dog" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.23

No position

Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.25

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.42

No position

Will Tim Walz say "Abortion" 5 or more times during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.37

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Concept" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.59

No position

Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.88

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.25

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4