No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $374.61K
- Potential payout
- $433.07K
- Potential profit
- $58.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $73.59K
Polymarket Trader
65765757
0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $437.2K
- Realized PnL
- $468.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.75K
- Potential profit
- $35.75K
- User PnL
- -$30.19K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $23.15K
- Potential payout
- $28.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.9K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.59K
- Potential profit
- $25.59K
- User PnL
- -$19.48K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.54K
- Potential profit
- $23.54K
- User PnL
- -$18.82K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.42K
- Potential profit
- $23.42K
- User PnL
- -$13.13K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $18.73K
- Potential payout
- $21.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $951.53
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33K
- Potential profit
- $13.33K
- User PnL
- -$9.29K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.3K
- Potential profit
- $11.3K
- User PnL
- -$9.04K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24K
- Potential profit
- $11.24K
- User PnL
- -$8.27K
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $9.13K
- Potential payout
- $10.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $954.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $8.8K
- User PnL
- -$7.32K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $8.41K
- User PnL
- -$6.14K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $5.7K
- User PnL
- -$4.84K
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $4.61K
- Potential profit
- $391.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $392.81
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- User PnL
- -$2.49K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $326.86
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $134.14
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $71.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $355.19
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $65.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $289.8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$1.37K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$966.6
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $108.37
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $130.92
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$731
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.91K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.29K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.96K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.29K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.37K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.29K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 79.7% 1,003.37 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 210.58 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96% 4,166.67 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 96.4% 210.58 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No 90% 874.44 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 99.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 91% 317.58 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 73% 273.97 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 79.9% 125.09 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 70.4% 283.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 71.9% 69.52 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 75.4% 210.89 shares