Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $51.96
- Potential profit
- $51.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Polymarket Trader
Simpasa124
0x2975e36106795afa44f52b2b0983dffb10b056e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.99
- Realized PnL
- -$61.11
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.42
- Potential profit
- $51.42
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $51.39
- Potential profit
- $51.36
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $50.92
- Potential payout
- $51.05
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $36.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $50.87
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $38.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $48.63
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$11.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $45.34
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $50.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.99
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $22.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.77
- Potential profit
- $14.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $7.68
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
N
No position
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Y
Yes position
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
N
No position
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
N
No position
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$17.14
Y
Yes position
Will Marcus Rashford join Aston Villa?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$27.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?Yes 24.7% 51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?Yes 23% 24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 2?Yes 26.7% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 2?Yes 29% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?Yes 24% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 2?Yes 26.2% 39.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 2?Yes 25.7% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?Yes 22% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 2?Yes 30% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 2?Yes 31.1% 7.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 2?Yes 26.7% 51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 2?Yes 27% 14.77 shares