Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
liverbird
0x297eb0987d18f2d2b1cb010a9ce8c598bbdae41b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.61
- Realized PnL
- $215.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $43.91
- Potential payout
- $798.35
- Potential profit
- $754.44
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$65.09
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $12.17
- Potential payout
- $518.01
- Potential profit
- $505.83
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$17.83
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $32.04
- Potential payout
- $182.54
- Potential profit
- $150.5
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- -$25.29
Over position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.35
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $80.45
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $71.76
- Potential profit
- $66.38
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$31.93
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$31.55
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.78
- Potential profit
- $41.78
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $39.8
- Potential profit
- $35.22
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Under position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.07
- Potential profit
- $26.07
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $59.24
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.98
Over position
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.93
Over position
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes 3% 336.19 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 14% 521.43 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 17.5% 68.57 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes 22% 90.91 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes 11% 181.82 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 13% 161.54 shares
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 41.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 79% 1 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 13% 115.38 shares
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 24% 41.67 shares