No position
Revolut IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $99.73
- Potential payout
- $105.54
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.84
Polymarket Trader
postmeta
0x29879c31053b633b653d3c1b2ce81d4af8508512
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $605.92
- Realized PnL
- $176.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $99.48
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $51.64
- Potential payout
- $55.23
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $52.28
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $26.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $28.59
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $25.3
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $18.49
- Potential payout
- $20.21
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.16
- Potential profit
- $20.16
- User PnL
- -$14.9
Y
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $17.4
- Potential payout
- $20.11
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$17.2
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $16.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $19.09
- Potential payout
- $19.93
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $15.35
- Potential payout
- $17.44
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $14.38
- Potential payout
- $16.63
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $14.57
- Potential payout
- $15.75
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $15.58
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $15.32
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $14.75
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $14.04
- Potential payout
- $14.86
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $12.8
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Meta position
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $12.67
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
No position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Yes position
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Circle IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Another Trump x Putin talk in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 48% 10 shares
- OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Meta 78% 12.67 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?No 89% 6.63 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?No 94% 10 shares
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?No 89% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 84% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 96.6% 10 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 96.1% 9.99 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 98.3% 9.97 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Trump out as President by July 31?No 99% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 10 shares