Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
jellybeanmachine98
0x298ae31d49493d90a70cdbeda446f1436f0c15b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $797.2
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $307.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $47.84
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $814.22
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $183.6
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $616.39
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $48.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $83.49
- Potential payout
- $791.37
- Potential profit
- $707.88
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$26.51
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $105.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $394.75
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $65.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $50.78
- Potential payout
- $316.37
- Potential profit
- $265.6
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $288.6
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.99
- Potential profit
- $291.99
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$100
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $223.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$38.75
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $227.8
- Potential payout
- $230.68
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.8
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.31
- Potential profit
- $126.31
- User PnL
- -$30.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.01
- Potential profit
- $125.01
- User PnL
- -$19.47
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $34.39
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $47.58
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $28.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $51.6
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.81
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $402.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 34% 58.82 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 39% 256.41 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 862.07 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 791.37 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 98.04 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 192.31 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 70% 285.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 51.7% 48.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp 56% 44.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETUp 41% 60.98 shares