No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
AkVitalik
0x298de4fc45da560633898d44c9250e152ed9fb9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21K
- Realized PnL
- $14.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $580.3
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $919.18
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $380.3
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $884.88
- Potential profit
- $884.88
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $500.7
- Potential payout
- $578.85
- Potential profit
- $78.14
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $48.37
- Potential payout
- $569.02
- Potential profit
- $520.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$51.63
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.42
- Potential profit
- $415.42
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $394.62
- Potential profit
- $394.62
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $22.06
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $272.06
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$77.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.16
- Potential profit
- $277.16
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $29.97
- Potential payout
- $239.74
- Potential profit
- $209.77
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.04
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.1
- Potential profit
- $211.1
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $163.93
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.47
- Potential profit
- $143.47
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $136.99
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Current value
- $31.72
- Potential payout
- $125.37
- Potential profit
- $93.65
- Multiplier
- 3.95x
- User PnL
- -$68.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $986.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.06
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.51
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.86
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.9
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.67
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.77
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.78
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.68
Yes position
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.06
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.61
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.36
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.45
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.38
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 158.73 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 40.3% 248.12 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 17.6% 569.02 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No 4.3% 2,329.93 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 76% 131.58 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 29% 344.83 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 69.7% 143.47 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 54% 185.19 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 74.2% 404.47 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Yes 73.2% 409.88 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 76.7% 390.89 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 63.5% 157.48 shares