Polymarket Trader

Abir11

0x298f20326ac0f69059a62a6d180b708383091601

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.45K
Realized PnL: $3.25K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$99.99

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $6.15K
Potential profit: $5.12K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $30.03

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $531.24
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $965.22
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$468.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $42.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$15.45

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $870.06
Potential profit: $870.06
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $828.51
Potential payout: $851.06
Potential profit: $22.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $28.51

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $846.72
Potential profit: $846.72
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $17.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $582.6
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$84.6

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.76
Potential profit: $284.76
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.69
Potential profit: $269.69
User PnL: -$6.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.23

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $219.93

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.01

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $190.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.81

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.3%
Multiplier: 3.66x
User PnL: $160.82

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $106.66

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.88

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $42.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.67

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $23.36

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.12

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.03

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.86

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$27.72

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

No 94% 851.06 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 66.8% 1,496.46 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 95.9% 1,042.92 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 96.2% 131.07 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 76.3% 131.08 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 16.3% 6,149.39 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 64.1% 467.79 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99% 404.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 89% 1,910.11 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 23% 870.06 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Yes 84.9% 43.22 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

No 53% 200 shares