Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $78.92
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$22.4
Polymarket Trader
BillGross
0x2995cd35b7a8792be6a6e5b8ed6540352fa3c2b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.51K
- Realized PnL
- $921.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- User PnL
- $149.44
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $885
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $651.79
- Potential payout
- $886.79
- Potential profit
- $235
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$32.55
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 Week of July 20 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $42.78
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $16.23
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.38
No position
Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $45.53
- Potential payout
- $46.67
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 13 above $360?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.04
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.77
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.58
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.48
Yes position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $74 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Yes position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Y
Yes position
Will Standard Nuclear's market cap be less than $3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes 90.8% 106.11 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes 94% 131.88 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes 92.7% 29.4 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 80% 260 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 63% 155 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No 62.9% 500 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes 89.4% 689.45 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes 85% 413.28 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 78.8% 300 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 89% 1,000 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 76.3% 586.79 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 96.5% 1,594.3 shares