Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $639.62
- Potential payout
- $695.99
- Potential profit
- $56.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Polymarket Trader
monitoringthesitus
0x29a2e706d0d5c24111dea2839f4a4bf4bddb53f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $933.66
- Realized PnL
- -$506.93
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $639.53
- Potential profit
- $639.53
- User PnL
- -$161
Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $248.77
- Potential payout
- $318.94
- Potential profit
- $70.17
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $45.27
- Potential payout
- $74.21
- Potential profit
- $28.94
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $239.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.66
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.89
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.91
No position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 10AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.06
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$53.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$53.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.18
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$256.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$613.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 1.81 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 1.83 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 2.23 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 2.21 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 2.54 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 2.33 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 1.88 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 2 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 2.22 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 2.23 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 13.87 shares