Polymarket Trader

dcposch

0x29a6b177fd5cdbba9c00fd42a9a05ccafe2606af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $666.64
Realized PnL: $6.31K
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $666.13
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$333.87

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$310

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$366.65

Yes position

Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $819.19
Potential profit: $819.19
User PnL: -$294.72

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810.87
Potential profit: $810.87
User PnL: -$164.76

Yes position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.75
Potential profit: $439.75
User PnL: -$300

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Trump's 538 approval rating be 49% or more on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.48

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.69

Yes position

Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.05

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.47

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.09

No position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.46

No position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.16

No position

Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$41.07

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the AFD be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$246.41

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Chiefs position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 35.8% 1,026.73 shares
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

No 29.8% 100 shares
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Yes 61.1% 81.89 shares
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Yes 59.2% 845.31 shares
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

No 48.3% 1,035.69 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 31% 3,225.81 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

No 20.3% 810.87 shares
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

No 52.7% 1,818.18 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 24.3% 1,233.15 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 26.8% 37.31 shares
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Yes 36% 819.19 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 77% 1,000 shares