Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.3%
- Current value
- $15.14
- Potential payout
- $26.42
- Potential profit
- $11.28
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Polymarket Trader
Hesperosanna
0x29b3d7f27995cef44e8578a9b8b2a373feef8408
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.14
- Realized PnL
- $6.74
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$22.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.06
- Potential profit
- $22.06
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 94.6% 26.42 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 27.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 97.9% 24.51 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.9% 25 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.5% 25 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?No 99.1% 25.12 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?No 99.5% 25.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 96.4% 23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 94% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 71% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 24?Yes 18% 21.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No 95.4% 4.19 shares