Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $194.29
- Potential payout
- $232.68
- Potential profit
- $38.39
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Polymarket Trader
shock643
0x29b83617dc0b472bc12798707c7491ba5dc808e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $502.86
- Realized PnL
- $1.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.82
- Potential profit
- $172.82
- User PnL
- -$6.87
No position
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $136.99
- User PnL
- -$100
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $111.69
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $100.56
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $96.32
- Potential payout
- $108.84
- Potential profit
- $12.52
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Jazz position
Nets vs. Jazz
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.25
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.97
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.55
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.17
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.51
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.83
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.88
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.12
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.36
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.59
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.22
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.85
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.56
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.92
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 88% 113.64 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes 91.9% 108.84 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 89% 112.36 shares
- Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Yes 78% 128.21 shares
- Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes 75% 133.33 shares
- Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes 74% 135.14 shares
- Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes 83% 120.48 shares
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes 51.5% 194.17 shares
- Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 98.2% 136.98 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.6% 294.69 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 67% 127.42 shares
- Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 73% 136.99 shares