Polymarket Trader

arefnk

0x29bbcd90c7f34c8d2c5baa0dd60fc13029f13aa6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.17K
Realized PnL: $785.63
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $724.14

Yes position

Amad Diallo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $523.06
Potential payout: $925.93
Potential profit: $402.87
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $23.06

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $95.83
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $737.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.17

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $503.97
Potential payout: $793.65
Potential profit: $289.68
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $94.19
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $138.37
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$5.81

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.27
Potential profit: $89.27
User PnL: -$41.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.31

Morocco position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 94% 43.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 56% 8.93 shares
Amad Diallo: 1+ goals

Yes 16.4% 1,218.03 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 2,439.02 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 63% 793.65 shares
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 54% 925.93 shares
Spread: France (-1.5) AND France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France leading at halftime?

38.2% 254.16 shares
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Yes 43% 232.56 shares