Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$142.5
Polymarket Trader
aigiul
0x29c28f4a4df655aa65474c3050a319e9afcc6bd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.23K
- Realized PnL
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- User PnL
- -$2.65K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.08
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.88
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$781
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- US government shutdown in 2025?Yes 84% 2,274.21 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 78% 1,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 47% 2,130.34 shares
- Liverpool wins the Premier League?No 52.8% 222 shares
- Liverpool wins the Premier League?No 60% 4,633.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 51.5% 1,941.77 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 46.1% 950.07 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 65% 772.22 shares
- Biden drops out of presidential race?No 73% 1,069.86 shares