Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $571.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
kefche
0x29d24dc19883bdaab82befb07ebc3291fa9d6305
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.34
- Realized PnL
- $108.4
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.27
- Potential profit
- $192.27
- User PnL
- -$123.04
Yes position
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.42
- Potential profit
- $144.42
- User PnL
- -$16.7
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $82.35
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $42.35
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.55
- Potential profit
- $68.55
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43.48
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.48
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.67
- Potential profit
- $35.67
- User PnL
- -$4.37
No position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $26.53
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $11.03
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.28
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.67
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
100 position
LoL: 100 vs RED
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.61
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?Yes 11.6% 144.42 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 16% 263.47 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No 93% 5.74 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 51% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?Yes 76.6% 5.22 shares
- GPT-5.4 released by March 5?No 17% 29.41 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 34% 117.65 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 69% 43.48 shares
- Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No 86% 11.63 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 45.2% 221.02 shares