No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.12K
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Polymarket Trader
PancraceRoyer
0x29d337076f24d135b7b2b08796edfff4e32cb2ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.23K
- Realized PnL
- $125.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$550
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $6.21K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$490.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.77K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $291.02
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $35.96
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $591.01
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $231.09
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $114.02
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $399
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$131.98
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $825
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$134.98
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $237
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $428.4
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$79.59
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $974.99
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$224.95
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $245.06
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$194.25
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $2.7K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$149.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $274
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.73K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$322
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $659.99
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$507.12
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$577.5
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $345
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $646
No position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $29.9
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $732.52
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $368.55
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$265.46
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $108.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.34K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.05K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 42.7% 145 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 46% 396.84 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 43.9% 458.63 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 43% 241.86 shares
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Group BPower Rangers 51% 102 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 47% 196.72 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?No 32% 156.25 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 48% 104.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 400 shares
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere 47% 100 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 68% 99.99 shares
- Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?Yes 56% 362.59 shares