Polymarket Trader

samueclark71

0x29e29e96095bdca85b389e2906812e088399f33d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $736.25
Realized PnL: $424.47
Win rate: 92.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $977.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $26.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $573.6
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $69.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $430.24
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $49.75

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $234.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $65.85
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $62.85

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $282.75
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$11.55

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $38.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161.4
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: -$23.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $24.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175.7
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$11.7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $22.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.05
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.75
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$67

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.15
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.65
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.35
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$3.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.7

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Yes 84% 80 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 97.8% 190.9 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 77% 100 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 22% 50 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 84% 100 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 96.8% 29.13 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 12% 100 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

No 98.2% 30 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 31% 200 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18% 200 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.6% 600 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.6% 1,000 shares