No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$2.69K
Polymarket Trader
moegirl
0x29fc648e814d711695c77dcb43e99ac5e4af31aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.22K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.69K
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.67K
- Potential profit
- $5.67K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $41.95
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $405
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.46
- Potential profit
- $206.46
- User PnL
- -$52.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.85
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.88
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.29
No position
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.05
No position
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.49
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$518.71
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$901.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.64K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 86.7% 3,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 91.7% 4,982.82 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released on February 9, 2026?No 85.2% 698 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No 24.2% 897.6 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?No 88.6% 1,872.28 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No 8.2% 1,211.25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?Yes 90.5% 159.76 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?Yes 92% 4,405.19 shares
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No 95% 300 shares
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No 94% 79.68 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 82.2% 7,000 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes 89.4% 4,624.79 shares