Polymarket Trader

taner

0x2a08c7d447ee22f693f20c5c21ebf75aa02b9513

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.77K
Realized PnL: $27.73K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $648.45
Potential payout: $11.48K
Potential profit: $10.83K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$350.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $8.32K
Potential payout: $9.19K
Potential profit: $872.98
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.51K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $9.17K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.36K
Potential profit: $7.36K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.27K
Potential profit: $7.27K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $696.08
Potential payout: $6.54K
Potential profit: $5.84K
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$303.92

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $5.78K
User PnL: -$999.17

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.76K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.11K
User PnL: -$497

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$500

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$564.25

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$331.94

Yes position

Will Fury beat Usyk?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $719.6
Potential profit: $719.6
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.69
Potential profit: $688.69
User PnL: -$128

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52K

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.97

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$66.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$374.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 52.3% 9,189.25 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 518.75 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

No 13.9% 719.6 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?

Yes 4% 2,507.54 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?

Yes 4.7% 2,150.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Up 48% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Down 40% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 20.3% 49.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Down 50% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Up 47.2% 678.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Up 41.9% 382.11 shares