Polymarket Trader

Goliath-Online

0x2a0ebb3a39a0109433d7140fd959545c3cd7a6fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.47
Realized PnL: $54.43K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.92K
Potential profit: $17.92K
User PnL: -$6.71K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$62.08

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.66
Potential profit: $112.66
User PnL: -$11.24

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.5
Potential profit: $60.5
User PnL: -$4.85

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.94
Potential profit: $4.94
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $2.52
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.1K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.52

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.57

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.19

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.02

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.02

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.8

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.67K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Yes 97.3% 20,149.99 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Yes 97% 10,445.9 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Yes 97.4% 5 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 42% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 102,889 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 10,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 38.9% 1,400 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 45.2% 2,277 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 71.3% 4,178 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 938.45 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 73% 2,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 72.4% 859 shares