v.l

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$929.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20.16

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $100.86
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $68.03

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $85.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $54.36
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $44.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$10

No position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $639.3
Potential payout: $666.29
Potential profit: $26.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $39.3

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $607.47
Potential payout: $652.49
Potential profit: $45.02
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.17
Potential profit: $566.17
User PnL: -$139.55

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.13
Potential profit: $205.13
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.12
Potential profit: $195.12
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.21
Potential profit: $170.21
User PnL: -$80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.01
Potential profit: $153.01
User PnL: -$59.22

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.94
Potential profit: $150.94
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.15
Potential profit: $148.15
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.74
Potential profit: $137.74
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $129.03
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$80

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.37

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.33

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.71

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.91

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.2

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.53

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.05

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.16

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.67

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.86

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.46

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.23

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.79

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.93

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.03

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.84

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.98

Yes position

Will Trump win Miami?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.26

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.08

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?