mar1337

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$130.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $337.31
Potential profit: $337.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.38
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$49.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.9
Potential profit: $202.9
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.01
Potential profit: $170.01
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.82
Potential profit: $106.82
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $98.5
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$32.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.31
Potential profit: $91.31
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.61
Potential profit: $83.61
User PnL: -$22.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.86
Potential profit: $45.86
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $29.53
Potential profit: $27.69
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.31
Potential profit: $27.31
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.22

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 56.8%
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: $129.99

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.45

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.99

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.11

Yes position

Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.36

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.9

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.2

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Fed" during swearing-in?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.08

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?