Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $100.58
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Polymarket Trader
0x2A1EE56CF7Dba995F5cFA293F9Eb376E6Dc73cD1-1767443043937
0x2a1ee56cf7dba995f5cfa293f9eb376e6dc73cd1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.31
- Realized PnL
- $231.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $75.28
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $64.79
- Potential profit
- $64.62
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $11.8
- Potential payout
- $56.6
- Potential profit
- $44.8
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.66
- Potential profit
- $45.66
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.43
- Potential profit
- $29.43
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.2%
- Current value
- $15.54
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $21.33
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.4
- Potential profit
- $16.4
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $14.23
- Potential profit
- $10.17
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $12.61
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $13.79
- User PnL
- -$9.79
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $12.85
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.48
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.35
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.57
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 67% 14.93 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes 9.4% 10.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown 89% 5.62 shares
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Yes 6% 33.33 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 51% 39.22 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev 82% 7.32 shares