Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $155.64
- Potential payout
- $155.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $54.89
Polymarket Trader
0x2a2d...1c72
0x2a2dbf72a0a19fb5a5a698408409a66e57c11c72
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $184.75
- Realized PnL
- $30.54
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $29.11
- Potential payout
- $118.82
- Potential profit
- $89.71
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.37
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 64.7% 155.64 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 70.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 10.1% 76.09 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 92% 37.73 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 17% 70.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 6.6% 76.1 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes 22.9% 65.22 shares
- Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 16.8% 118.82 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 53% 37.74 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 73% 13.7 shares