Polymarket Trader

Jugernout

0x2a339415b6385b34379ddddbe68d9bdbb6c8c087

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.34K
Realized PnL: $125.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25K
Potential profit: $31.25K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $404.41
Potential payout: $14.71K
Potential profit: $14.3K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $154.43

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $107.14
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.18K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$92.84

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $10.49K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $125.01

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $441.96
Potential payout: $8.93K
Potential profit: $8.49K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $191.97

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77K
Potential profit: $8.77K
User PnL: -$499.99

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $177.1
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$122.89

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.71K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $627.37

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $387.35
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$112.65

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $70.68
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$79.32

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $284.8
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$582.95

Yes position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $110.05
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$389.95

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $849.67
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $447.54
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$45.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.96K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.41K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93K

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27K

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92K

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39K

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06K

Stars position

Bruins vs. Stars

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $991.62

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $984.03

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $964.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 7,935.56 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 10,869.57 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 4.9% 3,073.02 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 2,985.07 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 10.7% 11,175.87 shares
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Yes 35.7% 1,401.96 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 8,771.93 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.1% 4,950.5 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 3,086.42 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 48.9% 6,083.43 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 56% 473.25 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 57% 215 shares