Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $88.99
- Potential payout
- $659.21
- Potential profit
- $570.22
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$311.01
Polymarket Trader
KClO3
0x2a515df2a6e1592facdb8d17539e1ef437083591
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.71
- Realized PnL
- -$140.07
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $123.82
- Potential profit
- $115.1
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$41.28
Yes position
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.06
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.51
No position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.76
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$470.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 40.4% 123.82 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 60.7% 659.21 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 825.37 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 96.9% 825.38 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.7% 570.77 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 87.6% 570.78 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No 96% 520.83 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 85% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 95% 30.8 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?No 95% 119.27 shares
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 99.9% 665.42 shares