Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.72
- Potential profit
- $59.72
- User PnL
- -$43
Polymarket Trader
Aurorabreeze
0x2a61aae23e854aeb9980da09fbfab184bef269b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.1
- Realized PnL
- $39.93
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$17.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $25.13
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 79.6% 25.13 shares
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina 47% 2,148.94 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.7% 15.35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.7% 15.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes 10% 45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes 6.2% 45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes 32% 55 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes 55% 59.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No 98.6% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown 72% 59.72 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 110.03 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 88% 110.03 shares